A method for uncertainty constraint of catchment discharge and phosphorus load estimates          下载免费PDF全文

Michael J. Hollaway  Keith J. Beven  Clare Mc W. H. Benskin  Adrian L. Collins  Robert Evans  Peter D. Falloon  Kirsty J. Forber  Kevin M. Hiscock  Ron Kahana  Christopher J. A. Macleod  Mary C. Ockenden  Martha L. Villamizar  Catherine Wearing  Paul J. A. Withers  Jian G. Zhou  Nicholas J. Barber  Philip M. Haygarth 《水文研究》2018,32(17):2779-2787

River discharge and nutrient measurements are subject to aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. In this study, we present a novel method for estimating these uncertainties in colocated discharge and phosphorus (P) measurements. The “voting point”‐based method constrains the derived stage‐discharge rating curve both on the fit to available gaugings and to the catchment water balance. This helps reduce the uncertainty beyond the range of available gaugings and during out of bank situations. In the example presented here, for the top 5% of flows, uncertainties are shown to be 139% using a traditional power law fit, compared with 40% when using our updated “voting point” method. Furthermore, the method is extended to in situ and lab analysed nutrient concentration data pairings, with lower uncertainties (81%) shown for high concentrations (top 5%) than when a traditional regression is applied (102%). Overall, for both discharge and nutrient data, the method presented goes some way to accounting for epistemic uncertainties associated with nonstationary physical characteristics of the monitoring site.  相似文献   

Lunar Gravity-Assist Maneuver As a Way of Reducing the Orbit Amplitude in the Spectrum–Röntgen–Gamma Project     

I. D. Kovalenko  N. A. Eismont 《Astronomy Letters》2018,44(4):289-295

Spectrum–Röntgen–Gamma (SRG) is a space observatory designed to observe astrophysical objects in the X-ray range of the electromagnetic spectrum. SRG is planned to be launched in 2019 by a Proton-M launch vehicle with a DM3 upper stage. The spacecraft will be delivered to an orbit around the Sun–Earth collinear libration point L2 located at a distance of ~1.5 million km from the Earth. Although the SRG launch scheme has already been determined at present, in this paper we consider an alternative spacecraft transfer scenario using a lunar gravity-assist maneuver. The proposed scenario allows a oneimpulse transfer from a low Earth orbit to a small-amplitude orbit around the libration point to be performed while fulfilling the technical constraints and the scientific requirements of the mission.  相似文献   

Measuring impact crater depth throughout the solar system          下载免费PDF全文

Stuart J. Robbins  Wesley A. Watters  John E. Chappelow  Veronica J. Bray  Ingrid J. Daubar  Robert A. Craddock  Ross A. Beyer  Margaret Landis  Lillian R. Ostrach  Livio Tornabene  Jamie D. Riggs  Brian P. Weaver 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2018,53(4):583-637

One important, almost ubiquitous, tool for understanding the surfaces of solid bodies throughout the solar system is the study of impact craters. While measuring a distribution of crater diameters and locations is an important tool for a wide variety of studies, so too is measuring a crater's “depth.” Depth can inform numerous studies including the strength of a surface and modification rates in the local environment. There is, however, no standard data set, definition, or technique to perform this data-gathering task, and the abundance of different definitions of “depth” and methods for estimating that quantity can lead to misunderstandings in and of the literature. In this review, we describe a wide variety of data sets and methods to analyze those data sets that have been, are currently, or could be used to derive different types of crater depth measurements. We also recommend certain nomenclature in doing so to help standardize practice in the field. We present a review section of all crater depths that have been published on different solar system bodies which shows how the field has evolved through time and how some common assumptions might not be wholly accurate. We conclude with several recommendations for researchers which could help different data sets to be more easily understood and compared.  相似文献   

Experimental Studies of Aerosols in the Atmosphere of Semiarid Landscapes of Kalmykia: 1. Microphysical Parameters and Mass Concentration of Aerosol Particles     

Gubanova  D. P.  Chkhetiani  O. G.  Kuderina  T. M.  Iordanskii  M. A.  Obvintsev  Y. I.  Artamonova  M. S. 《Izvestiya Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics》2018,54(8):777-793

Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics - This paper summarizes the results of long-term (2004–2016) comprehensive experimental studies of microphysical parameters and the mass...  相似文献   

Rare,metal micrometeorites from the Indian Ocean     

M. Shyam Prasad  N. G. Rudraswami  Agnelo Alexandre De Araujo  V. D. Khedekar 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2019,54(2):290-299

Metal in various forms is common in almost all meteorites but considerably rare among micrometeorites. We report here the discovery of two metal micrometeorites, i.e., (1) an awaruite grain similar to those found in the metal nodules of CV chondrites and (2) a metal micrometeorite of kamacite composition enclosing inclusions of chromite and merrillite. This micrometeorite appears to be a fragment of H5/L5 chondrite. These metal micrometeorites add to the inventory of solar system materials that are accreted by the Earth in microscopic form. They also strengthen the argument that a large proportion of material accreted by the Earth that survives atmospheric entry is from asteroidal sources.  相似文献   

Dispersed Sedimentary Matter of the Barents Sea     

Politova  N. V.  Kravchishina  M. D.  Novigatsky  A. N.  Lokhov  A. S. 《Oceanology》2019,59(5):697-714

Oceanology - The article presents the results of studying the distribution and composition of dispersed sedimentary matter (suspended particulate matter, SPM) in the Barents Sea water column. The...  相似文献   

Spatial Structure of the Antarctic Water Flow in the Vema Fracture Zone of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge     

D. I. Frey  E. G. Morozov  V. V. Fomin  N. A. Diansky 《Izvestiya Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics》2018,54(6):621-625

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Spectral properties and geology of bright and dark material on dwarf planet Ceres          下载免费PDF全文

G. Thangjam  A. Nathues  T. Platz  M. Hoffmann  E. A. Cloutis  K. Mengel  M. R. M. Izawa  D. M. Applin 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2018,53(9):1961-1982

Variations and spatial distributions of bright and dark material on dwarf planet Ceres play a key role in understanding the processes that have led to its present surface composition. We define limits for “bright” and “dark” material in order to distinguish them consistently, based on the reflectance of the average surface using Dawn Framing Camera data. A systematic classification of four types of bright material is presented based on their spectral properties, composition, spatial distribution, and association with specific geomorphological features. We found obvious correlations of reflectance with spectral shape (slopes) and age; however, this is not unique throughout the bright spots. Although impact features show generally more extreme reflectance variations, several areas can only be understood in terms of inhomogeneous distribution of composition as inferred from Dawn Visible and Infrared Spectrometer data. Additional material with anomalous composition and spectral properties are rare. The identification of the composition and origin of the dark, particularly the darkest material, remains to be explored. The spectral properties and the morphology of the dark sites suggest an endogenic origin, but it is not clear whether they are more or less primitive surficial exposures or excavated subsurface but localized material. The reflectance, spectral properties, inferred composition, and geologic context collectively suggest that the bright and dark material tends to gradually change toward the average surface over time. This could be because of multiple processes, i.e., impact gardening/space weathering, and lateral mixing, including thermal and aqueous alteration, accompanied by changes in composition and physical properties such as grain size, surface temperature, and porosity (compaction).  相似文献   

On the Differential Rotation of Stars     

I. S. Savanov  E. S. Dmitrienko  D. S. Pandei  S. Karmakar 《Astrophysical Bulletin》2018,73(4):454-462

We discussmethods for analyzing the observational manifestations of differential rotation (DR). Based on the literary sources and our estimates (for 4 cool dwarfs), a list containing 75 stars was compiled. Using an example of analysis of the ‘ΔΩ–T_eff’, ‘ΔΩ–rotation period’ and ‘ΔΩ–Rossby number’ diagrams we compared the determined parameters of DR stars with the results of theoretical studies. Particular attention is paid to the problems of measurements of DR parameters in low-mass dwarf stars, including the completely convective ones.We analyzed the measured parameters of solar-type DR stars. The objects having anti-solar DR (α < 0), and possiblemethods allowing to determine the sign of α are considered.We distinguish the areas of research that in the future may expand our understanding of DR manifestations: a study of DR in the inner regions of stars and an analysis of manifestations of the rotational brightness modulation caused by the spottedness of components in eclipsing-variable systems (subsynchronized systems).  相似文献   

Population abundance and seasonal migration patterns indicated by commercial catch-per-unit-effort of hakes (Merluccius capensis and M. paradoxus) in the northern Benguela Current Large Marine Ecosystem     

JN Kathena  D Yemane  N Bahamon  T Jansen 《African Journal of Marine Science》2018,40(2):197-209

We developed generalised additive models (GAMs) to estimate standardised time-series of population abundance indices for assessment purposes and to infer ecological and behavioural information on northern Benguela hakes, Merluccius capensis and M. paradoxus, using haul-by-haul commercial trawl catch-rate data as proxies for hake densities. The modelling indicated that individual ship identifiers should be used rather than general vessel characteristics, such as vessel size. The final models explained 79% and 68% of the variability in the commercial catch rates of M. capensis and M. paradoxus, respectively. The spatial density patterns were consistent and confirmed existing knowledge about these species in the northern Benguela system. Furthermore, seasonal migration patterns were described for the first time and were found to correspond to the known spawning areas and seasons for M. capensis and M. paradoxus. Spatial density patterns were validated using the geostatistical modelling results of fisheries-independent trawl survey data. Improved understanding of the relationships between fleet dynamics and fish movement can be achieved by taking into consideration the present catch-rate model and spatial and seasonal distribution maps. We conclude that the yearly standardised CPUE time-series are problematic as proxies for total stock abundance because of spatial coverage issues. Consequently, such CPUE data should not be used for stock-size assessments and fisheries advice concerning northern Benguela hakes until this is solved. We generally recommend the exclusion of standardised CPUE time-series from stock assessments when important and changing parts of the stock distribution cannot be targeted by the fishery, such as due to closed areas or seasons.  相似文献